MUM vs HYD Dream11 Prediction SMAT [12 Dec 2025]

Mumbai faces Hyderabad in a Super League Group B match at MCA Stadium, Pune, on December 12, 2025. The match starts at 4:30 PM IST.

Both teams need this win. Mumbai is led by Shardul Thakur.

Hyderabad banks on disciplined bowling. The teams met once before this tournament. Hyderabad won by 23 runs, defending 155.

This tactical guide focuses purely on data. We’ll analyze how the pitch behaves phase-by-phase.

We’ll rank team strengths in batting, bowling, and all-round departments. We’ll break down key tactical battles using bowler vs batter stats.

The MUM vs HYD Dream11 Prediction SMAT section provides data-driven picks only. No guesswork. Just numbers and recent form.

The weather is perfect. Temperature 17-19°C. No rain. Evening dew helps teams chasing. The toss advantage goes to the team fielding first.

MUM vs HYD Dream11 Prediction SMAT

How MCA Pune Pitch behave?

Let’s break down each phase with actual data from recent matches at this venue.

Powerplay Analysis (Overs 1-6)

Key Insights:

Pacers get early movement. First 3 overs see most swing. The new ball does tricks. Opening batsmen need caution.

The average strike rate of 138 is moderate. Not a highway pitch. Wickets come if batsmen attack blindly. Smart batting pays off.

A dot ball percentage of 38% means bowlers can build pressure. One bad overdose doesn’t mean the phase is lost.

Middle Overs Analysis (Overs 7-15)

Key Insights:

Spinners dominate this phase. Ball grips and turns. Batting becomes difficult. Strike rate drops to 122.

This is where matches get decided. Teams losing 3-4 wickets here struggle later. Building partnerships is crucial.

Dot ball percentage jumps to 44%. Scoring becomes harder. Batsmen need rotation, not big hitting.

Death Overs Analysis (Overs 16-20)

Key Insights:

Pacers return with an advantage. Yorkers work well on this surface. But dew helps batsmen after 7:30 PM.

Strike rate shoots up to 148. Boundaries increase. Good death bowlers can restrict teams to below 60 runs.

Wickets don’t matter much here. Batsmen take risks. Bowlers need variations and execution.

Complete Wicket Distribution:

Tactical Takeaway:

Pick 2 quality pacers and 2 quality spinners. Pace gets 53% wickets overall, but spinners control the middle phase completely.

Teams need specialist death bowlers. Middle overs spinners are gold. Opening bowlers must take powerplay wickets.

Team Strength Ranking

Let’s score both teams across key departments out of 10.

Batting Department

Analysis:

Mumbai’s top order is stronger. Yashasvi Jaiswal, Ajinkya Rahane, and Ayush Mhatre provide depth. The middle order has experience. Lower order can hit.

Hyderabad depends heavily on the top 3. Tanmay Agarwal and Pragnay Reddy are key. If they fail, the innings collapse. Lower order weak.

Edge: Mumbai by a significant margin

Bowling Department

Analysis:

Mumbai has quality pace in Mohit Avasthi and Shardul Thakur. Spin department average. Death bowling is decent but not elite.

Hyderabad’s strength is bowling. Chama Milind leads the pace attack. Spinners like Ravi Teja are effective. Death bowling economy of 8.9 is better than Mumbai’s 9.8.

Edge: Hyderabad slightly ahead

All-Rounder Department

Analysis:

Mumbai has Shardul Thakur, who contributes heavily. Tanush Kotian provides a spin-all-around option. Shivam Dube (if playing) adds batting depth.

Hyderabad lacks quality all-rounders. Mickil Jaiswal is average. No genuine all-rounder who can change games.

Edge: Mumbai is clearly ahead

Overall Team Balance Score

Mumbai is a more balanced team overall. Hyderabad depends on bowling to win.

Key Tactical Battles

These individual matchups will decide the match outcome.

Battle 1: Chama Milind vs Yashasvi Jaiswal

Tactical Analysis:

Milind dismissed Jaiswal in their last meeting. Jaiswal struggles against a disciplined pace early on. This battle happens in PowerPlay.

If Milind gets Jaiswal early, Mumbai’s batting crumbles. If Jaiswal survives the first 4 overs, he can dominate.

Fantasy Impact: The Winner of this battle gets big points.

Battle 2: Ravi Teja vs Mumbai Middle Order

Tactical Analysis:

Mumbai’s middle order lacks intent against spinners. Ravi Teja exploits this. He bowls tight lines in the middle overs.

Mumbai lost 4 wickets in the middle phase last time. The same pattern can repeat. Ravi Teja’s control is key.

Fantasy Impact: Ravi Teja is a value pick if Mumbai bats first.

Battle 3: Mohit Avasthi vs Tanmay Agarwal

Tactical Analysis:

Avasthi swings the new ball both ways. Tanmay struggled against swing in previous matches. This battle decides Hyderabad’s start.

If Avasthi gets Tanmay early, Hyderabad’s innings stalls. If Tanmay survives, he can anchor successfully.

Fantasy Impact: Both high-risk, high-reward picks.

Battle 4: Shardul Thakur vs Pragnay Reddy

Tactical Analysis:

Pragnay accelerates in death overs. Shardul bowls crucial death overs for Mumbai. This matchup happens when the match is tight.

Shardul’s variations work on this pitch. Pragnay’s power hitting can counter. Execution matters most.

Fantasy Impact: Shardul safer pick overall due to all-around contribution.

MUM vs HYD Dream11 Prediction SMAT – Data Picks Only

Here are picks based purely on numbers and recent form.

Safe Picks (70%+ Consistency)

Must-Have Players:

1. Yashasvi Jaiswal (MUM)
   • Last 5 scores: 62, 48, 71, 38, 55
   • Average: 54.8
   • Strike rate: 148
   • Consistency: 85%
   • Expected points: 65-95
2. Chama Milind (HYD)
   • Last 5 wickets: 3, 2, 2, 1, 3
   • Average: 2.2 wickets per match
   • Economy: 7.4
   • Consistency: 82%
   • Expected points: 55-85
3. Shardul Thakur (MUM)
   • Last 5 contributions: 30+2W, 18+1W, 42+0W, 12+3W, 28+2W
   • Average: 26 runs + 1.6 wickets
   • Consistency: 78%
   • Expected points: 60-90
4. Tanmay Agarwal (HYD)
   • Last 5 scores: 48, 39, 52, 22, 44
   • Average: 41
   • Strike rate: 138
   • Consistency: 76%
   • Expected points: 50-75
5. Ajinkya Rahane (MUM)
   • Last 5 scores: 36, 41, 28, 38, 32
   • Average: 35
   • Consistency: 72%
   • Expected points: 40-65

Risky Picks (50-65% Consistency)

Use in Balanced Teams:

6. Mohit Avasthi (MUM)
   • Wickets: 2, 1, 3, 0, 2 (last 5)
   • Consistency: 74%
   • Good for powerplay wickets
   • Expected points: 45-70
7. S Pragnay Reddy (HYD)
   • Scores: 28, 18, 35, 12, 22 (last 5)
   • Wicketkeeper bonus
   • Consistency: 68%
   • Expected points: 45-60
8. Ravi Teja (HYD)
   • Wickets: 2, 1, 1, 2, 0 (last 5)
   • Economy: 7.2
   • Consistency: 70%
   • Expected points: 35-60

Differential Picks (Below 50% Consistency)

Use Only in Grand Leagues:

9. Ayush Mhatre (MUM)
   • Scores: 18, 62, 12, 8, 48 (last 5)
   • Strike rate: 156 (explosive)
   • Consistency: 58%
   • Expected points: 25-70 (high variance)
10. Mickil Jaiswal (HYD)
    • Contributions: 22+1W, 8+0W, 18+1W, 32+0W, 12+2W
    • Consistency: 62%
    • Expected points: 35-55
11. Royston Dias (MUM)
    • Wickets: 1, 2, 1, 0, 1 (last 5)
    • Death specialist
    • Consistency: 65%
    • Expected points: 30-55

Captain and Vice-Captain Data

Recommendation:

• Safe: Jaiswal (C), Milind (VC)
• Balanced: Milind (C), Thakur (VC)
• Risky: Thakur (C), Tanmay (VC)

Head-to-Head Table

Match Breakdown

Hyderabad Batting:

• Top scorer: Tanmay Agarwal (48)
• Strike rate: 125
• Powerplay: 42/1
• Middle overs: 68/2
• Death: 45/2

Mumbai Batting:

• Top scorer: Ajinkya Rahane (36)
• Strike rate: 110
• Powerplay: 38/2
• Middle overs: 52/4 (collapse)
• Death: 42/2

Key Stats:

• Chama Milind: 3/22 in 4 overs
• Shardul Thakur: 2/28 in 4 overs
• Mumbai’s middle order collapsed (4 wickets in 6 overs)

Tactical Lesson:

Hyderabad’s bowling won the match. They took wickets in the middle overs. Mumbai couldn’t build partnerships. The same pattern could repeat.

Probable XI for Both Teams

Mumbai Probable XI

Batting Depth: Till #8 Bowling Options: 6 (3 pace, 2 spin, 1 all-rounder)

Hyderabad Probable XI

Batting Depth: Till #6 only Bowling Options: 6 (3 pace, 2 spin, 1 all-rounder)

Key Difference:

Mumbai bats till #8. Hyderabad is only till #6. Mumbai has better batting depth. Hyderabad depends on the top order more.

Conclusion

This MUM vs HYD Dream11 Prediction SMAT tactical analysis reveals clear patterns.

Mumbai is a more balanced team overall (7.75/10 vs 6.48/10). Hyderabad has better bowling but weaker batting depth.

The MCA Pune pitch helps both departments. Pacers get 53% wickets. Spinners dominate the middle overs with 65% wickets in that phase. Death bowling requires skill due to dew.

Key tactical battles matter most. Chama Milind vs Yashasvi Jaiswal decides the power play.

Ravi Teja vs the Mumbai middle order decides the control phase. Mohit Avasthi vs Tanmay Agarwal sets Hyderabad’s tone.

For fantasy cricket, safe picks are Jaiswal, Milind, Thakur, Tanmay, and Rahane. These five have 70%+ consistency. Risky picks like Ayush Mhatre work only in grand leagues.

Captain Jaiswal for small leagues. Try Milind or Thakur as captain in grand leagues for differentiation.

Hyderabad won the last meeting by 23 runs, defending 155. But Mumbai has home advantage now. Toss will decide heavily. Team fielding first has an edge due to dew.

Match prediction: 55-45 in Mumbai’s favor if they win the toss. Even 50-50 if Hyderabad wins the toss and bowls first.

Use this data-driven MUM vs HYD Dream11 Prediction SMAT guide to build winning teams. Stick to numbers, not emotions.

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